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- Written by Sumit Roy |
- July 30, 2012
Contango Report: Brent Backwardation Favors BNO Over USO, NatGas Moves Back Into Contango
- Details
Brent's backwardation widened to double-digit levels last week, while natural gas moved into contango.
Featured Commodity

CONTANGO WATCH: Brent's backwardation widened last week. Rolling front-month Brent contracts now yields 11.27 percent annualized, and the benchmark remains the preferred option for bullish exposure to crude oil.
Rival West Texas Intermediate (WTI) remains in contango as it has been for the vast majority of the year amid infrastructure bottlenecks in the U.S. Midwest. Thus, the United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), which holds front-month Brent contracts, is seen as superior to the United States Oil Fund (USO), which holds front-month WTI contracts.
ROLL COSTS: Investors net 11.27 percent
BOTTOM LINE: Backwardation
Has oil moved into backwardation yet? What does corn's roll yield look like? How do you know when it's time to buy—or sell?
Each week, we investigate the futures curves of the U.S.' most important commodities, helping investors better understand the market and seize buy-and-sell opportunities as soon as they arise.
To see current contango curve and front-month roll costs for each of our selected commodities, please select a sector or commodity below (or read the whole report ):
Data as of close on July 27, 2012
Data courtesy IndexUniverse.com
Energy |
Agricultural Commodities
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Precious Metals
|
Soft Commodities |
Industrial Metals |
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| Current Roll | Previous Week's Roll | Past Year Average Roll | Historical 07/30 5YR Annualized Roll | ||
| Energy | WTI | 4.08% | 3.98% | 0.30% | 11.04% |
| Brent | -11.27% | -8.56% | -0.58% | 2.52% | |
| HH Natural Gas | 5.05% | -4.56% | 3.04% | 12.15% | |
| Precious Metals | Gold | 0.67% | 0.99% | 0.12% | 1.23% |
| Silver | 1.38% | 1.12% | 0.12% | 1.51% | |
| Platinum | 1.66% | -4.04% | 0.25% | 0.66% | |
| Palladium | 2.79% | 0.70% | 0.25% | 1.92% | |
| Industrial Metals | Copper | 0.88% | 0.32% | -0.00% | -1.01% |
| Aluminum | 11.12% | 9.47% | 0.55% | 4.96% | |
| Zinc | 1.30% | 0.98% | 0.11% | 4.63% | |
| Lead | 2.53% | 2.56% | 0.21% | 3.38% | |
| Nickel | 1.45% | 1.29% | 0.09% | 1.78% | |
| Tin | 0.33% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.71% | |
| Agricultural Commodities | Corn | -2.18% | -13.48% | -1.02% | 8.71% |
| Wheat | 5.92% | 3.07% | 2.59% | 17.80% | |
| Soybeans | -31.88% | -28.55% | 0.04% | -26.12% | |
| Live Cattle | 32.07% | 28.88% | 0.88% | 33.27% | |
| Lean Hogs | -61.14% | -63.29% | 0.62% | -42.84% | |
| Soft Commodities | Coffee C | 6.83% | 5.17% | 1.00% | 7.69% |
| Cocoa | 1.89% | 2.70% | 1.01% | 3.27% | |
| Sugar #11 | 2.98% | 0.40% | -2.03% | 6.80% | |
| Cotton #2 | 5.93% | 9.14% | -0.44% | 5.19% |
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