HAI

Unless otherwise indicated, the material below has not been prepared by Van Eck Associates Corporation or HardAssetsInvestor.com.
Neither assumes any liability for any content on a third party website or material prepared by a third party.

Features and Interviews

   |
Poor Nothing special Worth watching Pretty cool Awesome! 4 Ratings
Rate this article
GSCI Or DJ-AIG?

Steve Nash is the point guard for the Phoenix Suns of the NBA. Looking at some of his career statistics, in many ways they are pedestrian. Through the end of the 2006-07 season, he had averaged 14 points and less than three rebounds per game. Certainly there are those with far better statistics whom many would consider better players.

Kobe Bryant of the Los Angeles Lakers is one example. Yet, Steve Nash is a perennial All Star and two-time Most Valuable Player—an award that Bryant has never won.

Nash won such accolades because his contributions go beyond his individual statistics, especially points and rebounds. Nash's main contribution is that he makes everyone around him better players. This attribute is why Nash is generally considered the greatest point guard of his era. It also demonstrates why it is important to not view a player's value to the team by viewing his statistics in isolation. One needs to consider how the player impacts the team's overall performance.

The same thing applies to investing. A common mistake made by investors and even professional advisors is to view an asset class' returns and risk in isolation. Just as the only right way to consider the value of Steve Nash is to consider how his play impacts the entire team, the only right way to view an asset is to consider how its addition impacts the risk and return of the portfolio.

In 1990, Harry Markowitz was awarded the Nobel Prize in economics for his contributions to Modern Portfolio Theory. Markowitz demonstrated that one could add risky, but low-correlating, assets to a portfolio and increase returns without increasing risk (or, alternatively, reduce risk without reducing returns). The following example will demonstrate just how important it is to consider investments in the whole.

From 1991 through 2007, the S&P 500 Index returned 11.41% per annum and had a standard deviation of 17.0% per annum. During the same period, the S&P GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index) returned just 6.80% and had a standard deviation of 25.6%. Why would anyone consider including in a portfolio an asset class that experienced 4.61% per annum lower returns than the S&P 500 Index and also experienced much greater volatility? If you considered investments in isolation, that would not happen. However, a portfolio that consisted of 95% S&P 500 Index and 5% S&P GSCI would have provided a slightly higher return (11.42 versus 11.41) with a lower standard deviation (15.94 versus 17.0)—higher return, with less risk. This outcome was a result of the impact of the negative correlation (-0.20) of returns of the two asset classes. (We can define negative correlation as when one asset produces higher-than-average returns and the other tends to experience lower-than-average returns.) Every investor should prefer the portfolio that included the lower-returning and more volatile S&P GSCI.

As another example, consider the following. From 1970 through 2007, the MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia and the Far East) Index returned 11.57% per annum and had a standard deviation of 21.63%. During the same period, the S&P 500 Index returned 11.07%, with a standard deviation of 16.62%. Now consider a European investor: Should they have included the lower-returning S&P 500 Index as part of their portfolio? A portfolio that was allocated 50% to each of the two indexes would have returned 11.63%, higher than the return of either index. And, by including the lower-returning S&P 500 Index, the portfolio's standard deviation also fell from 21.63 to 17.07%. Once again, we see an example of higher returns with less risk.

From a U.S. investor's viewpoint, the combined S&P 500/EAFE portfolio also produced superior results. The portfolio with both asset classes increased returns from 11.07% per annum to 11.63% per annum (a relative increase of 5%). And while the standard deviation did rise from 16.62% per annum to 17.07% per annum, that is a relative increase of less than 3%. Thus, the combined portfolio produced superior risk-adjusted returns.

When considered in isolation, commodities appear to be a low-returning, risky asset. Yet, their inclusion has historically improved portfolio performance.

Summary


John Ruskin was an author, poet and artist best known for his work as an art and social critic. His essays on art and architecture were influential in the Victorian and Edwardian eras. He stated: "Not only is there but one way of doing things rightly, but there is only one way of seeing them, and that is seeing the whole of them."1 Ruskin's advice applies to investing. There is only one right way to build a portfolio—by recognizing that the risk and return of any asset class by itself should be irrelevant, and that the only thing that should matter is considering how the addition of an asset class impacts the risk and return of the entire portfolio.

1 Richard M. Titmuss, Commitment to Welfare (George Allen and Unwin Ltd., 1976).

(This article first appeared on IndexUniverse.com)



Larry Swedroe is the author of Wise Investing Made Simple (2007), The Only Guide To A Winning Investment Strategy You Will Ever Need (2005), What Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Know (2000), Rational Investing In Irrational Times: How to Avoid the Costly Mistakes Even Smart People Make Today (2002), and The Successful Investor Today: 14 Simple Truths You Must Know When You Invest (2003); and co-author of The Only Guide to a Winning Bond Strategy You'll Ever Need (2006). He is also a principal and director of both Research of Buckingham Asset Management and BAM Advisor Services—a Turnkey Asset Management Provider serving CPA-based Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) practices—in Clayton, Missouri (www.bamservices.com).


His opinions and comments expressed within this column are his own, and may not accurately reflect those of the firm.



 
Subscribe to Our Weekly Newsletter 

Comments (4)

 Wednesday, 06 February 2008 21:32 EST - Posted by Tom Drake

 
I strongly believe that the DJ-
AIG (liquidity weighted 19 commodities) or the CCI (equally weighted 17 commodities) are better than GSCI which has been as high as 75% energy weighted. Take a look at DJP (or PCRIX) and GCC which use those indexes. GCC may have other benefits than volatility control in that it actually uses futures instead of murky index notes. So the US taxation may be at favorable futures rates.

 Thursday, 07 February 2008 19:12 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

 
'Murky' index notes? Please tell us what makes these products opaque.

 Sunday, 26 July 2009 13:10 EST - Posted by Newton

 
Denon DN-X900 Professional 19" Analog/Digital Mixer.....$300
Denon DN-X500 Professional 19" Mixer ...$250
Denon DN-X100 Professional 2-Channel DJ Mixer......$150
Denon DN-S5000 Tabletop DJ CD Player...$400
Denon DN-D9000 Dual Pro CD Player.....$700
Denon DN-D4500 Dual CD/MP3 Player....$300
Denon DN-S3000 Table Top DJ CD Player Refurb......$200
Denon DN-D6000 Dual CD MP3 Player Refurb..........$300
Denon DN-D6000 Dual CD MP3 Player...................$400
Denon DN-HD2500 Hard Disk Media Player/Controller...$400
Denon DN-X900 Professional 19" Analog/Digital Mixer.....$350

2x CDJ 1000MK3 + 1 DJM 800 DJ PACKAGE.......$2,000
Pioneer CMX-3000 Dual Rackmount CD Player..........$600
Pioneer DJM-400 Mixer .....$400
Pioneer DJM-800 Mixer......$700
Pioneer DJM-600 mixer.....$500
Pioneer DJM-600K mixer....$500
Pioneer EFX-1000 Performance Effector Digital Effects Processor..$650
Pioneer DJM-500 mixer.....$450
Pioneer DJM-300 mixer....$350
Pioneer DJM-3000 mixer...$500
Pioneer DJM-707 mixer....$400
Pioneer DJM-700-S Mixer..$700
Pioneer DJM-1000 Professional DJ Mixer.....$1300
Pioneer DJM-909 mixer....$800
Pioneer EFX-500 mixer....$350
Pioneer CDJ-800MK2.......$700
Pioneer CDJ-400 Turntable....$430
Pioneer DJM-400 Mixer.....$530
Pioneer CDJ-1000MK2.....$450
Pioneer CDJ-1000MK3.....$600
Pioneer CDJ-200 Pro CD Player......$230
Pioneer DVJ-X1 DJ Video Player........$1000
Pioneer SVM-1000 Pro Audio/Video Dj Mixer.....$2700
Pioneer CDJ-800MK2 Professional CD/MP3 Turntable.....$450
Pioneer DVJ-1000 Professional DVD Turntable....$1000
Mackie d.2 2-Channel DJ Mixer ......$300
PCDJ DAC-3 Digital Audio Controller..........$300
American Audio Q-Spand PRO 4-Channel DJ Mixer......$200

Sampler

Akai MPC1000 Music Production Center....................$500
Akai MPC4000-Plus - 64 Voice Sampling Drum Machine.........$1600
Akai MPC2500 Music Production Center..............$1000
Akai MPC5000 Music Production Centre..............$2480
Akai APC 40 Albeton Controller..........................$1500
Akai MPC2000XL-MCD Production Station................$800
Akai MPC500 MIDI Production System/Sampler.........$250

Allen & Heath Xone:92 Fader DJ Mixer...........$1000
Allen & Heath Xone:464 16 Input Pro Club DJ Mixer......$1100
Allen & Heath Xone 4D...........$1300
Allen & Heath Xone2 Battle Mixer.........$280
Allen & Heath Xone:62 Fader DJ Mixer.....$700

Rane MP 4 Rackmount DJ Mixer......$300
Rane MP44 DJ Club Mixer.................$1000
Rane Empath Touring/Club Mixer..........$700
Rane MP 2016a 6-Channel Rotary Mixer.....$800
Rane TTM 57SL Performance Mixer with Serato Scratch......$700
Rane TTM 56 Performance Mixer...................$500
Rane MP 4 Rackmount DJ Mixer......$300
Stanton M.505 12" Club Mixer with 5 InputChannels......$300
Stanton CM.205 CD / MP3 Player with Mixer .......$250

Behringer BCD2000 B-Control Deejay.........$150
Behringer Refurbished VMX1000 Pro DJ Mixer ........$200
Behringer DJX700 5-Channel Pro DJ Mixer ....$130

Roland SP-404 Portable Power Sampler with FX.....$250
Roland Fantom-XR Sound Module..........$700
Roland VK-8M Organ Sound Module.......$350
Roland SP-555 Creative Sampler Workstation......$200
Roland SonicCell 128-Voice Expandable Synth Module with Audio Interface........$500
Roland PM-30 PM30 Drum Monitor 200 Watt ......$460
Roland V-Synth XT Synthesizer....................$1600
Edirol-Roland V8 8 Channel Video mixer with Effects.....$700
Edirol-Roland V4 Video Mixer with Effects........$500

 Sunday, 26 July 2009 13:12 EST - Posted by Newton

 
Denon DN-X900 Professional 19" Analog/Digital Mixer.....$300
Denon DN-X500 Professional 19" Mixer ...$250
Denon DN-X100 Professional 2-Channel DJ Mixer......$150
Denon DN-S5000 Tabletop DJ CD Player...$400
Denon DN-D9000 Dual Pro CD Player.....$700
Denon DN-D4500 Dual CD/MP3 Player....$300
Denon DN-S3000 Table Top DJ CD Player Refurb......$200
Denon DN-D6000 Dual CD MP3 Player Refurb..........$300
Denon DN-D6000 Dual CD MP3 Player...................$400
Denon DN-HD2500 Hard Disk Media Player/Controller...$400
Denon DN-X900 Professional 19" Analog/Digital Mixer.....$350

2x CDJ 1000MK3 + 1 DJM 800 DJ PACKAGE.......$2,000
Pioneer CMX-3000 Dual Rackmount CD Player..........$600
Pioneer DJM-400 Mixer .....$400
Pioneer DJM-800 Mixer......$700
Pioneer DJM-600 mixer.....$500
Pioneer DJM-600K mixer....$500
Pioneer EFX-1000 Performance Effector Digital Effects Processor..$650
Pioneer DJM-500 mixer.....$450
Pioneer DJM-300 mixer....$350
Pioneer DJM-3000 mixer...$500
Pioneer DJM-707 mixer....$400
Pioneer DJM-700-S Mixer..$700
Pioneer DJM-1000 Professional DJ Mixer.....$1300
Pioneer DJM-909 mixer....$800
Pioneer EFX-500 mixer....$350
Pioneer CDJ-800MK2.......$700
Pioneer CDJ-400 Turntable....$430
Pioneer DJM-400 Mixer.....$530
Pioneer CDJ-1000MK2.....$450
Pioneer CDJ-1000MK3.....$600
Pioneer CDJ-200 Pro CD Player......$230
Pioneer DVJ-X1 DJ Video Player........$1000
Pioneer SVM-1000 Pro Audio/Video Dj Mixer.....$2700
Pioneer CDJ-800MK2 Professional CD/MP3 Turntable.....$450
Pioneer DVJ-1000 Professional DVD Turntable....$1000
Mackie d.2 2-Channel DJ Mixer ......$300
PCDJ DAC-3 Digital Audio Controller..........$300
American Audio Q-Spand PRO 4-Channel DJ Mixer......$200

Sampler

Akai MPC1000 Music Production Center....................$500
Akai MPC4000-Plus - 64 Voice Sampling Drum Machine.........$1600
Akai MPC2500 Music Production Center..............$1000
Akai MPC5000 Music Production Centre..............$2480
Akai APC 40 Albeton Controller..........................$1500
Akai MPC2000XL-MCD Production Station................$800
Akai MPC500 MIDI Production System/Sampler.........$250

Allen & Heath Xone:92 Fader DJ Mixer...........$1000
Allen & Heath Xone:464 16 Input Pro Club DJ Mixer......$1100
Allen & Heath Xone 4D...........$1300
Allen & Heath Xone2 Battle Mixer.........$280
Allen & Heath Xone:62 Fader DJ Mixer.....$700

Rane MP 4 Rackmount DJ Mixer......$300
Rane MP44 DJ Club Mixer.................$1000
Rane Empath Touring/Club Mixer..........$700
Rane MP 2016a 6-Channel Rotary Mixer.....$800
Rane TTM 57SL Performance Mixer with Serato Scratch......$700
Rane TTM 56 Performance Mixer...................$500
Rane MP 4 Rackmount DJ Mixer......$300
Stanton M.505 12" Club Mixer with 5 InputChannels......$300
Stanton CM.205 CD / MP3 Player with Mixer .......$250

Behringer BCD2000 B-Control Deejay.........$150
Behringer Refurbished VMX1000 Pro DJ Mixer ........$200
Behringer DJX700 5-Channel Pro DJ Mixer ....$130

Roland SP-404 Portable Power Sampler with FX.....$250
Roland Fantom-XR Sound Module..........$700
Roland VK-8M Organ Sound Module.......$350
Roland SP-555 Creative Sampler Workstation......$200
Roland SonicCell 128-Voice Expandable Synth Module with Audio Interface........$500
Roland PM-30 PM30 Drum Monitor 200 Watt ......$460
Roland V-Synth XT Synthesizer....................$1600
Edirol-Roland V8 8 Channel Video mixer with Effects.....$700
Edirol-Roland V4 Video Mixer with Effects........$500

Contact this E-mail address for bookings/ Information

newtondjequipment@gmail.com
newtondjequipment@yahoo.com
newtondjequipment@live.com



Post a Comment

Comment
(Limit 2,000
characters) 
*
Name: *
E-mail: *
Home page:

(optional)

Type in the displayed characters
Email follow-up comments to my e-mail address
 


Terms of Use
The HardAssetsInvestor.com message board and comment features are designed to facilitate thoughtful discussion of the biggest issues impacting commodity investors. All comments should be respectful. Insults and profanity are not permitted. The editor reserves the right to remove comments at his/her discretion.

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

  • Michael Woolfolk: Outlook For 2009
    Bank of New York Mellon chief currency strategist gives his forecast for the dollar, the euro, emerging markets and commodities.
    January 23, 2009
  • From The Vault: Peter Schiff On The Gold Standard
    The president of Euro Pacific Capital talks turkey with HardAssetsInvestor.com about what created the U.S.
    December 30, 2008
  • Jeff Saut: Natural Business Cycles Thwarted
    The chief investment strategist at Raymond James further explains why we're in such economic turmoil.
    December 18, 2008
  • Jeff Saut: Treasury Created This Crisis
    Raymond James' chief investment strategist has some harsh words for the government's handling of the financial crisis.A crisis of its own makingDestroying foreign confidenceThe implications for markets
    December 16, 2008
  • Rising Yen, Falling Euro
    Win Thin, senior currency strategist for Brown Brothers Harriman, examines the macroeconomic impact of rising (and falling) currency values.
    December 12, 2008
 

Commodities Data

February 09, 2010 07:20 AM EST

  Loading data ...
 

Weekly Commodities Poll

Which do you think is more effective with commodities?

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

  • Michael Woolfolk: Outlook For 2009
    Bank of New York Mellon chief currency strategist gives his forecast for the dollar, the euro, emerging markets and commodities.
    January 23, 2009
  • From The Vault: Peter Schiff On The Gold Standard
    The president of Euro Pacific Capital talks turkey with HardAssetsInvestor.com about what created the U.S.
    December 30, 2008
  • Jeff Saut: Natural Business Cycles Thwarted
    The chief investment strategist at Raymond James further explains why we're in such economic turmoil.
    December 18, 2008
  • Jeff Saut: Treasury Created This Crisis
    Raymond James' chief investment strategist has some harsh words for the government's handling of the financial crisis.A crisis of its own makingDestroying foreign confidenceThe implications for markets
    December 16, 2008
  • Rising Yen, Falling Euro
    Win Thin, senior currency strategist for Brown Brothers Harriman, examines the macroeconomic impact of rising (and falling) currency values.
    December 12, 2008
 

Seminal Papers »