HAI

Unless otherwise indicated, the material below has not been prepared by Van Eck Associates Corporation or HardAssetsInvestor.com.
Neither assumes any liability for any content on a third party website or material prepared by a third party.

Features and Interviews

  
Poor Nothing special Worth watching Pretty cool Awesome! 4 Ratings
Rate this article
For ETFs, First Half Was All Commodities
Written by Matt Hougan   
Thursday, 17 July 2008 18:13

 

The explosive growth of the exchange-traded-products industry in the U.S. over the past few years means that there's an exchange-traded fund or exchange-traded note for just about anything.

Want to buy big U.S. stock indexes like the S&P 500 or the Russell 2000? Try the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) or the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM). Interested in foreign equities? You can buy developed markets (EFA), emerging markets (VWO) or almost any country-specific index you want (Japan, China, Brazil, Russia, etc.).

And it's not just stocks. You can buy bonds of all types - real estate, currencies, commodities and other alternative assets. There are now more than 790 ETFs and ETNs on the market, and you can buy access to just about anything.

Given such a wide array of products, examining the relative performance of ETFs is an easy way to determine the relative performance of various asset classes. With the first half of the year behind us, now's a good time to do just that.

First Half 2008 In Review

We all know that the first half of 2008 was a brutal period for the equity markets. The S&P 500 closed down more than 12%, and foreign stocks didn't do much better - the MSCI EAFE Developed Markets Index was down nearly 11%, for instance.

What was up? In a word: commodities.

Get this: If you exclude the so-called "inverse" ETFs - ETFs that are designed to go up when the market goes down - the 39 top-performing ETFs over the first six months of the year were ALL either commodity or natural resource funds.

You have to go all the way down to #40 before you hit the CurrencyShares Australian Dollar ETF (FXA), which posted a 12.33% return.

The table immediately below lists the top-10-performing ETFs over the first half of the year, excluding the inverse ETFs, and it's obvious that commodities rose to the top.

 

Top-10-Performing ETFs - 1H 2008

Ticker

1-Mo

3-Mo

YTD

United States Natural Gas

UNG

13.29

28.43

73.19

iPath DJ AIG Nat Gas ETN

GAZ

13.86

29.7

73.12

iPath DJ AIG Energy ETN

JJE

10.64

34.92

55.18

United States 12 Month Oil Fund

USL

11.59

44.14

55.02

PowerShares DB Energy Fund

DBE

10.64

39.54

54.64

PowerShares DB Oil Fund

DBO

12.4

41.39

52.67

ELEMENTS Rogers Energy ETN

RJN

10.07

38.4

50.98

iPath GS Crude Oil TR ETN

OIL

9.75

38.91

49.79

United States Oil

USO

9.91

39.33

49.47

DB Commodity Index

DBC

11.74

25.18

42.84

Source: Morningstar. Data as of 6/30/2008.

 

For comparison, the next table shows the 10 worst performers. Clearly, it was not a good time to be invested in Financials, which, broadly defined, captured six of the bottom 10 slots. India also had a rough first half, with the iPath MSCI India Index falling 42%.

 

Bottom-10-Performing ETFs - 1H 2008

Ticker

1-Mo

3-Mo

YTD

Claymore/Clear Global Exchange

EXB

-14.23

-11.45

-30.55

PowerShares FTSE RAFI Financials

PRFF

-19.95

-20.23

-31.07

Claymore/AlphaShares China Real Estate ETF

TAO

-15.90

-11.01

-31.16

iShares DJ Financial Services

IYG

-19.78

-19.79

-31.39

SPDR KBW Cap Markets

KCE

-13.15

-9.91

-32.60

PowerShares HY Div Achievers

PEY

-18.32

-25.96

-32.91

SPDR KBW Bank

KBE

-24.01

-26.47

-33.72

First Trust DJ STOXX 30

FDD

-19.45

-25.72

-34.18

iShares DJ Broker Dealer

IAI

-16.32

-10.70

-34.80

iPath MSCI India Index

INP

-19.90

-20.16

-42.00

Source: Morningstar. Data as of 6/30/2008.

 

Asset Class Comparison

We can get a general feel for the performance of various asset classes by examining the performance of the largest ETFs or ETNs in each major group. Here again, commodities (and other alternatives) rise to the top. The leading broad-based commodity product, the iPath DJ-AIG Commodity ETN, returned a sharp 27.09% so far this year, followed by gold (GLD, up 10.98%) and the euro (FXE, up 9.68%). Fixed income managed nearly flat returns, while all major stock categories tumbled.

The spread between broad-based commodities and U.S. stocks in our study is nearly 30%. In just six months! That's diversification at work.

 

Major ETF Asset Class YTD Performance Comparison Through July 1, 2008

Category

Fund

Ticker

1-Mo

3-Mo

YTD

Commodities - Broad

iPath DJ-AIG Commodity ETN

DJP

9.14

16.06

27.09

Commodities - Gold

SPDR Gold Trust

GLD

4.98

-0.46

10.98

Currency

Euro Currency Trust

FXE

1.48

0.48

9.68

Fixed Income

iShares Lehman Aggregate

AGG

0.05

-1.08

1.24

Emerging Markets

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets

EEM

-9.07

2.16

-9.5

Foreign Developed Markets

iShares MSCI EAFE

EFA

-8.09

-2.27

-10.88

U.S. Stocks

S&P 500 SPDR

SPY

-8.87

-3.21

-12.37

Source: Morningstar. Data as of 6/30/2008.

 

Of course, not all commodities performed equally well. According to IndexUniverse.com, there were 33 commodity-focused ETFs and ETNs in existence on January 1, 2008. Their performance since then is listed below.



 

More on this topic (What's this?)
Water Investing With ETFs
24 Great Ultra / Long ETFs for Bullish Investors
ETF Trends: 52, 13, and 4-Week Top Performers
The Big Picture for the Week of November 30, 2008
Read more on Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) at Wikinvest
 
Subscribe to Our Weekly Newsletter 
First Comment

Comments (0)



Post a Comment

Comment
(Limit 2,000
characters) 
*
Name: *
E-mail: *
Home page:

(optional)

Type in the displayed characters
*
Email follow-up comments to my e-mail address
 


Terms of Use
The HardAssetsInvestor.com message board and comment features are designed to facilitate thoughtful discussion of the biggest issues impacting commodity investors. All comments should be respectful. Insults and profanity are not permitted. The editor reserves the right to remove comments at his/her discretion.

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

Commodities Data

December 05, 2008 03:49 AM EDT

Gold Monthly OHLC
  Loading data ...
 

Weekly Commodities Poll

Given the recent events in the stock markets, should investors increase or decrease their commodities allocations, or leave their portfolios alone?

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

 

Seminal Papers »