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Peter Schiff: Gold Will Rise, Dollar Will Collapse
Written by HardAssetsInvestor.com   
November 19, 2008 2:48 PM EST

Mike Norman, HardAssetsInvestor.com (Norman): Hello everybody, and welcome back for another installment of HardAssetsInvestor.com’s interview series. I’m Mike Norman, your host. Well, he’s back. Mr. Doom and Gloom is here … Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital and author of the new book just out, “Bull Moves in Bear Markets.”

Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital (Schiff):
“The Little Book ...”

Norman: “The Little Book …”; it’s in The Little Book Series. Well look … the last time you were here, things were kind of going your way, but it looks like things have turned upside down.


All kidding aside, I know your big thing over the last seven or eight years has been gold. We’re very supportive of gold on this show; we think that probably people should have some gold as part of their overall portfolio mix. But let’s just look at what happened.

Several weeks ago, the U.S. stock market had its worst week in history … even going back to the 1930s … worst week in history. I saw a breakdown of various assets – all assets really – stocks, bonds, gold, commodities, oil. Gold was at the bottom of the list. The top-performing asset, and something that you hate, was the U.S dollar.

So how do you explain that? If we are going through the worst economic and financial crisis in history – precisely what gold is supposed to protect against – why would it perform so bad?

Schiff: Well, I think it will perform very well; you got to give it a little bit more time.

Norman: More time or more decimation?

Schiff: No, what’s happening right now, Mike, is just de-leveraging, and so gold is going down for the same reason a lot of stocks are going down, a lot of commodities are going down. There’s a lot of leverage in this system, there’s a lot of margin calls, a lot of liquidation; a lot of people are having to sell whatever they own to pay off their debts.

Norman: But look at where the money is going … the money is going into U.S. sovereigns, Treasuries … it’s going into the U.S. dollar.

Schiff: For now.

Norman: Why for now?

Schiff: Right now there’s some perception of safety there, but it’s the opposite of the leveraging. If you’re selling your assets, you’re accumulating dollars; but ultimately right now, it’s like there’s been this gigantic nuclear explosion in the United States, and everybody is running toward the blast. Pretty soon they’re going to figure out they’re going in the wrong direction.

Norman: You always talk about gold as a currency, and we have seen currencies appreciate – the yen, for example, the dollar tremendously, for example, but gold has not held up.

Schiff: Well, if you actually look at gold versus other currencies, in the last couple of weeks gold has made new record highs in terms of the South African rand, the Canadian and Australian dollars … so gold was not doing as poorly as many of the currencies, and I think this is all short term.

I think you’re going to see a lot of money moving into gold, and if you look at how much gold has gone down from the peak, the peak was about a thousand … it’s off about 25%. Stocks are off 40%. Gold is still up during this year against the Dow.



 

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Comments (4)

 Friday, 05 December 2008 4:09 EST - Posted by Nathan

 
Peter Shift nails it....whats up with you Mike?? Are you just playing the devils advocate?

 Saturday, 06 December 2008 12:48 EST - Posted by George

 
It amazes me to this day that Mike Norman still does not get it. Our monetary system is a fraud. Our monetary system is counterfeit. How can you put a value on something that is created out of thin air Mike? Peter is right, this economy is phony. Mike Norman needs to fess up and admit how wrong he was, and apologize to Peter Schiff through years of mocking, laughing, and just being plain arrogant toward Peter. How can Hard Asset Investor employ such a guy who has been consistently wrong through the years is beyond me. Mike Norman is nothing but a tool of the banksters who profit off of debt. Mike Norman is a propagandist; anyone who has listened to his advice in the last few years has lost money. Since the Federal Reserve was enacted, our currency has lost 95% of its value. We had a Great Depression under the Federal Reserve. Wasn't the Federal Reserve established to prevent these things from happening Mike? Be a man and apologize to Peter. There is a reason why gold and silver is in our Constitution. There is a reason why our Constitution didn't call for a central bank. There is a reason why gold and silver is money, and Federal Reserve Notes are not. There is a reason why gold and silver never go to zero. There is a reason why all fiat currencies go to zero. I will end with this note; Thomas Jefferson warned us that Central Banks are a larger threat to our nation than standing armies. He also warned us that paper is only the ghost of money and not money itself. I would say that Mike Norman is a fraud, who continues to promote this fraud of deficit spending and perpetual debt as being good for our economy which in reality has always resulted in failure. Mike Norman needs to find a new line of work.

 Friday, 13 February 2009 2:39 EST - Posted by Edward Alexander

 
The person above me has taken the words out of my mouth. Fiat currency eventually fails.

I'm going to give Keynesians some advice: If you're going to have a fiat currency, you must have discipline! Spending billions at home with expensive Federal gov't programs and expensive futile wars overseas, does not help your economic system.

Reduce Federal gov't spending (kill pork programs that states should decide on their own), raise the interest rates (it will hurt, but just for a while), reduce corporate and small business taxes, allow these big business f a i l u r e s to kick the bucket, NO UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE (at least not yet, for those who heart socialism), and I'm sure we can reduce the long painful depression our gov't is soo persistent in keeping us in.

My two cents.

 Wednesday, 07 October 2009 16:56 EST - Posted by MARK ROBISON

 
"The Dollar will collapse" What is this fear mongering. These remarks are unhelpful and sure to cause money to be made by the un=scrupulous. I feel he is being paid to make these remarks to effect the market. Some of what her says it true

"Reduce Federal gov't spending (kill pork programs that states should decide on their own), raise the interest rates (it will hurt, but just for a while), reduce corporate and small business taxes, allow these big business f a i l u r e s to kick the bucket, NO UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE (at least not yet, for those who heart socialism), and I'm sure we can reduce the long painful depression our gov't is soo persistent in keeping us in."

But I am sorry healthcare is is going through. Not the best of time to do it, but it will happen. If the republicans had a heart during Bushes years they could have done it then instead of spend billions on WAR. But when have the Republicans done anything unselfish



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