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SECTOR - ENERGY
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Oil Guesses Getting Better, Still Off
Pundits and oil analysts were collectively off the mark on this week's big number: crude inventories. Stocks, which had been projected to rise by some 100,000 barrels last week, instead tumbled 2 million barrels to stay below trend line averages.
Brad Zigler Wednesday, 02 July 2008
 
Oil Guesses Getting Better, Still Off
Pundits and oil analysts were collectively off the mark on this week's big number: crude inventories. Stocks, which had been projected to rise by some 100,000 barrels last week, instead tumbled 2 million barrels to stay below trend line averages.
Brad Zigler Wednesday, 02 July 2008
 
Up, Up And Away!
Up, up and awayWhy trying to untangle the oil prices enigma is such a murky endeavor.
  • Analysts waffling on oil
  • The bears' claims of supply
  • Declining exports

 

Julian Murdoch Monday, 30 June 2008
 
Oil Inventories Report Full Of Surprises

Industry guesstimates were universally off-base this week as the U.S. Energy Department's weekly inventory report played havoc with over/under parlays.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 25 June 2008
 
Oil Inventories Report Full Of Surprises

Industry guesstimates were universally off-base this week as the U.S. Energy Department's weekly inventory report played havoc with over/under parlays.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 25 June 2008
 
Chinese Inflation
gasoline price signboardWe're all so focused on the bottomless pit of Chinese demand. But what happens if the pit starts filling up?
  • Fuel vs. transportation
  • The real Chinese economy
  • The aluminum connection
Julian Murdoch Monday, 23 June 2008
 
Chinese Inflation
gasoline price signboardWe're all so focused on the bottomless pit of Chinese demand. But what happens if the pit starts filling up?
  • Fuel vs. transportation
  • The real Chinese economy
  • The aluminum connection
Julian Murdoch Monday, 23 June 2008
 
Oil Guesstimates Still Hit-And-Miss

This morning's U.S. Energy Department report on oil and fuel inventories left fewer pundits and analysts scratching their heads, at least about crude oil stocks and refinery usage. Forecasts for crude oil stocks and refining capacity utilization were dead-on this week. The other numbers? Eh, not so good.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 18 June 2008
 
Oil Guesstimates Still Hit-And-Miss

This morning's U.S. Energy Department report on oil and fuel inventories left fewer pundits and analysts scratching their heads, at least about crude oil stocks and refinery usage. Forecasts for crude oil stocks and refining capacity utilization were dead-on this week. The other numbers? Eh, not so good.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 18 June 2008
 
Oil Guesstimates Still Hit-And-Miss

This morning's U.S. Energy Department report on oil and fuel inventories left fewer pundits and analysts scratching their heads, at least about crude oil stocks and refinery usage. Forecasts for crude oil stocks and refining capacity utilization were dead-on this week. The other numbers? Eh, not so good.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 18 June 2008
 
Time For Crack Spreads?

Time For Crack SpreadsManaging editor of HardAssetsInvestor.com
Brad Zigler demystifies the obscure trading
strategy.

  • The simple arithmetic
  • The ebb and flow of refining margins
  • Capacity utilization

 

Brad Zigler Tuesday, 17 June 2008
 
Oil Report Stumps Analysts
U.S. oil refineries are still sluggishly producing fuels, at least by industry analysts' expectations. In fact, refining activity seems to have actually slowed over the past two weeks. This morning's Energy Department oil inventories report indicated domestic refiners utilized only 88.6% of their productive capacity last week. Insiders had expected refining capacity to top 90%, a 0.3% increase over the previous week's rate.
Brad Zigler Wednesday, 11 June 2008
 
That Crazy Day In Oil

That Crazy Day In OilSure, everybody's writing about 6/6 like it's an economic 9/11, but there are a few links we don't quite get.

  • Seriously now, why?
  • The volume question
  • Where to now?
Julian Murdoch Monday, 09 June 2008
 
A Modest Proposal

A Modest ProposalForget probes by the CFTC; one group says the U.S. and Japanese governments should fight high oil prices by shorting the market.

  • The problem with 7% margins
  • The best use of the strategic petroleum preserve
  • The impact of a $200 million bet
Trim Tabs Investment Research Thursday, 05 June 2008
 
The Ever-Surprising Oil Market
There was yet another grab bag of surprises in this morning's oil inventory report from the U.S. Department of Energy. Crude oil stocks, which were expected to increase by 600,000 barrels, instead fell by 4.8 million, following last week's drop of 8.9 million barrels. Inventories are below seasonal averages.
Brad Zigler Wednesday, 04 June 2008
 
Inflation Contest: Crude 1-Gold 0
Yesterday's musings on oil prices and inflation (see "Don't Think And Drive") got me thinking (I know ... a seemingly rare circumstance). We've now slogged through the first five months of the year, a year that seemed to hold the promise of riches galore for oil and gold bulls alike.
Brad Zigler Tuesday, 03 June 2008
 
Don't Think And Drive
It takes a holiday weekend to bring home just how much profligate consumption costs. Refilling the gas tank of the family chariot was a sobering coda. Just over a weekend, pump prices nosed up a nickel.
Brad Zigler Monday, 02 June 2008
 
Don't Think And Drive
It takes a holiday weekend to bring home just how much profligate consumption costs. Refilling the gas tank of the family chariot was a sobering coda. Just over a weekend, pump prices nosed up a nickel.
Brad Zigler Monday, 02 June 2008
 
Dallas vs. Indonesia
Dallas vs. IndonesiaIndonesia is getting out of OPEC, but the Dallas Fed thinks things should be getting better.
  • Lusting after supply/demand charts
  • The unlikely price-decline scenarios
  • The Indonesian poster child

 

Julian Murdoch Monday, 02 June 2008
 
Seeing The Light
Seeing The LightForget alternative energy; the best energy play is using less.
  • Voltage, current and electrical loss
  • A $20 billion opportunity
  • Spelling HDVC

 

HardAssetsInvestor.com Friday, 30 May 2008
 
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