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Why Bother With GLD Options?
Written by Brad Zigler   
Monday, 30 June 2008 11:42
In late May, we ran a column announcing the debut of option trading on the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE Arca: GLD) grantor trust (see "Options for Options"). Since then, we've received a fair amount of comment on gold ETF option trading, ranging from "So what?" to "That's crazy!"

Most people seem to think that gold ETFs are risky enough thankyewverymuch. Adding another layer of risk to the gold equation doesn't seem to make much sense. There are options, however, that offer decidedly stock-like exposure together with the leverage of a derivative.

Long-term options known as LEAPS (Long-term Equity AnticiPation Securities) can be used to advantage by gold bulls in a number of ways. The simplest application relies upon the inherent leverage of options to yield more bang out of every buck tracking gold.

You can find a LEAPS call, for example, that conveys to its owner the right, but not the obligation, to purchase 100 shares of the GLD trust at $70 any time through the third week in January 2010. Keep in mind that GLD closed at $91.47 a share Friday. This option gives its owner the right to obtain GLD shares at a $21.47 discount to the market price. Mr. Market rarely gives away advantages so large, so you can expect to pay up the "in the money" amount, plus an extra premium for the 567 days remaining in the option's life. After all, time is opportunity in option land: the opportunity to go even deeper in the money.

At present, the call's offered at $26.60 a share, or $2,660 per contract. If you wanted to buy 100 GLD shares outright, you'd have to pay $9,147. An investment that size could, instead, snag three of the LEAPS calls, allowing you to draw upon the appreciation potential of 300 GLD shares rather than just 100. At least until January 2010.

If GLD's at $100 by the third week of January 2010, you could expect a 9.3% profit, before commission, on your ETF purchase. At that same price level, your LEAPS calls, though, would return 12.8%:

 

 

 

Buy 100 GLD

At $91.47

Buy 3 GLD $70 Jan 10

LEAPS Call at $26.60

Cash Required

$9,147

$7,980

Breakeven Price

$91.47

$96.60

Value With GLD at $100

$10,000

$9,000

Resulting Profit

$853

$1,020

Total Risk

$9,147

$7,980

 

The risk/return patterns for the shares and the calls aren't congruent, however. Losses on the call are limited to the premium paid, no matter how low GLD trades. Because of the premium, however, the call's breakeven point on the upside is higher.

 

GLD LEAPS Call Vs. Shares

Chart: GLD LEAPS Call vs. Shares

 

 

The leverage of a LEAPS call can also be used as an alternative to a margined purchase of GLD shares. Suppose, for example, you're considering purchasing 100 shares of GLD in a margin account. You'd need to put up half the cost of your shares, or $4,574, and borrow the balance of the purchase price, some $4,573, at the broker's loan rate. Let's say that's 4.25% per annum.

You could, instead, purchase the $70 LEAPS call on GLD expiring in January 2010 for a $2,660 premium.

Here's how the two strategies compare if they were held until the call expiration date:

 

 

 

Buy 100 GLD

At $91.47 (50% Margin)

Buy 1 GLD $70 Jan 10

LEAPS Call at $26.60

Cash Required

$4,574

$2,660

Loan Required

$4,573

$0

Carrying Cost

$302

$513

Breakeven Price

$94.49

$96.60

Value With GLD at $100

$10,000

$3,000

Resulting Profit

$551

$340

Total Risk

$9,147

$2,660

 

The total risk of owning the LEAPS call, at $2,660, is less than a third of the risk associated with owning GLD shares, i.e., $9,147, themselves. The up-front cash needed to initiate the LEAPS position, as well, is 42% less than that required to open the margin purchase.

However, the cost of carrying a LEAPS call is 70% higher than that of purchasing GLD on margin. Carry costs for the margined stock position consists of interest on the funds borrowed to finance the stock purchase. The carrying costs for the LEAPS call is the time value embedded in the purchase premium. Time value is the premium paid in excess of an option's intrinsic worth. Put another way, it's the premium above an option's in-the-money amount. A $70 call is $21.47 in the money when the underlying shares are trading at $91.47. The time value, then, of an option with a $26.60 premium is $5.13 a share, or $513 per contract. Time value wastes away as an option approaches expiration.

Note, too, that the LEAPS' breakeven price is $2.11 per share higher than that of the margined GLD purchase, after including the margin account interest and the LEAPS purchase premium.

The return obtained by the margined purchase on GLD's move to $100, at 12%, is a slightly higher purchase than the 11.3% profit achieved by the call. Pretty stock-like, that.

Of course, there's a lot more to options than just the cursory examination offered here. More details can be obtained from the Option Industry Council, but you can get a sense from the foregoing that some options, at least, can behave very much like their underlying shares while they reduce capital commitments and overall risk.

How bothersome is that?

 
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Comments (8)

 Saturday, 19 July 2008 21:40 EST - Posted by Kunst

 
One minor detail. If you buy GLD and it goes down, you lose part of your money. If you buy GLD options, you can lose ALL of your money. Don't even think about spending as much on options as you would on the underlying security!

 Sunday, 20 July 2008 1:37 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

 
Thanks for the comment.

Keep in mind that the calls being considered are deep in the money. Exercising them allows you to buy GLD shares at $70 anytime before expiry in January 2010.

At exercise, you convert your option position, with its limited life, to a share position with an unlimited life. That staves off a total loss.

 Sunday, 20 July 2008 11:26 EST - Posted by hal

 
the problem with gld options is that they are expensive-expecting a big move in gold

 Sunday, 20 July 2008 11:46 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

 
"Expensive" is in the eye of the beholder. Options expense is usually measured by comparing the contract's implied volatility to the historic volatility of the underlying asset.

For the LEAPS calls described here, most of the $26.60 premium is intrinsic value (they're $21.47 in the money, after all). Is $5.13 too expensive for a year and a half's worth of market time?

 Sunday, 20 July 2008 21:33 EST - Posted by Montyman

 
Kunst is absolutely correct - you can lose ALL your money with options, and thus I only use options when they are much much cheaper than the stock. To buy options when the cost is similar to buying the stock is ridiculous IMO, since you have to get the timing right with options whereas you can just hold the stock for as long as you need to (you own the asset and it doesn't expire to zero).

And to Brad Zigler: how many people have got the up-front cash to convert their options into stock (a hugely expensive proposition)? Not many I would guess. That is why they are buying options in the first place.

 Sunday, 20 July 2008 22:05 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

 
The cash required to purchase a round lot of GLD at $91.47 ($9,147) very closely approximates the total cost of the LEAPS call premium ($2,660) together with its exercise price ($7,000). How is that "hugely expensive" in comparison?

You say you only use options "when they are much much cheaper than the stock." So you buy out-of-the-money options only? Those that have a GREATER likelihood to expire worthless?

 Tuesday, 19 August 2008 21:53 EST - Posted by Brad

 
can anyone explain to me in simple terms why gold always trades in contango?

 Wednesday, 20 August 2008 0:33 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

 
Primarily, gold’s contango is persistent because of supply. Gold isn’t consumed like oil. Essentially, all the gold that’s ever been mined and minted is still around.

The size of the contango does fluctuate, however. Changes in prevailing interest rates (most notably LIBOR) and gold lease rates influence the contango. When the contango’s small, producer hedging and speculative short selling is dampened.



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