Brad Zigler Profile - Brad's Desktop

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Brad Zigler Profile

Written by Administrator
November 21, 2006 12:00 AM EST

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Comments (7)

Thursday, 09 April 2009 20:54 EST - Posted by MAHER

Brad,
in the interview with Trader Vic, he mentioned he has a news letter service, long time ago i subscribed to his hotline at the time, can you please let me know how to subscribe to this news letter, i tried to look it up , no luck
thank you

Monday, 27 July 2009 12:06 EST - Posted by lou

brad,nice articles...thanks... by the way you mentioned that you believe that the best time to buy gold stocks would be september in one of your articles...with gold as strong as it is currently are you still confident that we will have a big downturn and the best time will be after the correction coming soon and then upwards momentum starting in earnest starting september for gold stocks?? lou

Monday, 27 July 2009 13:20 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

Normally, gold enjoys a seasonal uptrend going into the fall. That's the metal, not necessarily the miners. Negativity in the equity sector could put a damper on gold stock performance.

Friday, 31 July 2009 19:15 EST - Posted by lou

brad ,when do the gold miners typically show a seasonal uptrend ? you mentioned the best time to buy gold,the metal would be september... any comments on when to buy the miners?

Saturday, 30 January 2010 17:14 EST - Posted by Phil

Brad, as of Friday, contango has shrunk to as little as 45 cents. It looks as though it is about to switch into backwardation. Is there normally a period of price volatility as that occurs?

Saturday, 30 January 2010 17:17 EST - Posted by Phil

Sorry, the contango in crude.

Saturday, 30 January 2010 19:15 EST - Posted by Brad Zigler

Phil -

The yardstick I use for measuring crude oil spreads in my Wednesday Desktop columns is the three-month roll. The current roll (March to June) amounts to $1.64/bbl.

This week, the spread's averaged $1.60. Last week, the roll was worth $1.48 on average.
From that perspective, the contango's widened, not narrowed.

The crude oil market has been in contango since June 2008; the flip from backwardation to contango presaged the peak in the oil prices by nearly a month.

Measured by the standard deviation of returns, volatility actually declines in bull markets and expands in bearish environments. The answer to your question is this: volatility will increase ahead of a market bottom, but the bottom isn't yet being signalled by NYMEX spreads.

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The HardAssetsInvestor.com message board and comment features are designed to facilitate thoughtful discussion of the biggest issues impacting commodity investors. All comments should be respectful. Insults and profanity are not permitted. The editor reserves the right to remove comments at his/her discretion.

About Brad
Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing
editor for the Corporate Communica-
tions Broadcast Network, the Journal
of Indexes, and CRB Trader have set
the stage for his current role as manag-
ing editor of HardAssetsInvestor.com.

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