HAI

Unless otherwise indicated, the material below has not been prepared by Van Eck Associates Corporation or HardAssetsInvestor.com.
Neither assumes any liability for any content on a third party website or material prepared by a third party.

Brad's Desktop

   |
Poor Nothing special Worth watching Pretty cool Awesome! 52 Ratings
Rate this article
More On Gold Manipulation
Written by Brad Zigler   
July 27, 2009 10:09 AM EST
Real-time Monetary Inflation (per annum): 4.5%*

Earlier this month, Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) secretary/treasurer Chris Powell commented on a feature article ("Gold Manipulation Redux") I authored dealing with allegations of gold market manipulation. Powell made a number of unwarranted assertions and assumptions about my views and opinions in his commentary.

Nonfiction authors should always be circumspect in their writings to ensure clarity of thought and firm grounding in the facts. Perhaps I wasn't clear enough in my article. To rectify matters, allow me to go point by point through Powell's commentary:

Real-time Monetary Inflation (per annum): 4.5%*

Earlier this month, Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) secretary/treasurer Chris Powell commented on a feature article ("Gold Manipulation Redux") I authored dealing with allegations of gold market manipulation. Powell made a number of unwarranted assertions and assumptions about my views and opinions in his commentary.

Nonfiction authors should always be circumspect in their writings to ensure clarity of thought and firm grounding in the facts. Perhaps I wasn't clear enough in my article. To rectify matters, allow me to go point by point through Powell's commentary:

 

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

In [a recent] commentary, Brad Zigler, managing editor of the Hard Assets Investor Internet site, has done GATA the service of taking us seriously enough to answer us specifically in some respects. Zigler's commentary is headlined "Gold Manipulation Redux."

Zigler seems to accept that central banks intervene in the gold market, openly and surreptitiously. He seems interested mainly in asserting the integrity of the futures markets.

Counterpoint: Why, yes, I do accept the fact that central banks intervene in the gold market. In addition to outright sales, banks lease gold. That's precisely what I meant when I said:

"Central banks have, indeed, leased gold in the past and they're likely to continue leasing as a tool to manage their currencies. That, like it or not, is a central bank's mandate: to deploy its reserves - of foreign exchange and metal - to tweak and fiddle with the value of the legal tender."

Powell, however, misconstrues my acknowledgment of central bank lease activity as blanket acceptance of surreptitious machinations in the gold market. I've uttered no such tolerance in my writings.

 

He [Zigler] writes that since gold has been rising for quite a while now, any gold price suppression scheme could not be working. GATA argues that the scheme indeed is working by substantially slowing gold's rise.

Counterpoint: Among the elements required to establish manipulation under the Commodity Exchange Act is a showing that an artificial price was created by the alleged manipulator.

To posit an artificial price, a natural or unmanipulated price must necessarily be known. That triggers this question: "What would the current price of metal be if the alleged manipulation hadn't occurred? To what degree has the price supposedly been changed by bank action?"

I traced the history of the standardized basis of London cash gold and COMEX futures (the alleged venue for the manipulation) and found no appreciable skew in gold prices while bank short interest was growing. Where's the evidence, then, of a "slowing in gold's rise?"



Zigler acknowledges that a few U.S. banks have hugely disproportionate short positions in the futures markets in gold and silver but he does not consider these positions manipulative.

Counterpoint: That's right. Lopsided though these short positions may be in relation to the banks' long futures positions, so too is the metals exposure undertaken by the banks through swaps. That's reflected in the regulatory call reports. The long exposure in these derivatives necessitates short futures hedges to mitigate market risk.

 



 

More on this topic (What's this?)
Bloomberg Gold Buy Signal
Inching Closer to the Gold Explosion
Why Silver Should Head Higher
The Vocabulary of The New Normal
Read more on Gold at Wikinvest
 
Subscribe to Our Weekly Newsletter 
First Comment

Comments (0)



Post a Comment

Comment
(Limit 2,000
characters) 
*
Name: *
E-mail: *
Home page:

(optional)

Type in the displayed characters
Email follow-up comments to my e-mail address
 


Terms of Use
The HardAssetsInvestor.com message board and comment features are designed to facilitate thoughtful discussion of the biggest issues impacting commodity investors. All comments should be respectful. Insults and profanity are not permitted. The editor reserves the right to remove comments at his/her discretion.

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

  • Dennis Gartman: The Euro Is 'Doomed'
    The man behind The Gartman Letter says to buy the dollar, short the euro.
    February 26, 2010
  • Miguel Perez-Santalla: Gold Correction Coming
    Heraeus Precious Metals Management's VP of marketing looks back on the yellow metal’s performance in 2009, and shares his outlook for it in 2010.Is gold’s safe-haven status losing its luster?How much impact will the Fed raising rates have on gold?Are central banks good contrarian indicators?
    January 06, 2010
  • Carlos Sanchez: Get Exposure To Rising Gold Prices
    CPM Group’s associate director of research shares his view on how investors can play silver and other precious metals.
    December 30, 2009
  • Carlos Sanchez: Gold May Top $1,200 By Year-End
    CPM Group’s associate director of research discusses how current global political and economic conditions affect the price of the yellow metal.Investors continue rushing to safe-haven assetsStock markets perceived as potentially vulnerableWhat factors could cap gold price gains?
    December 23, 2009
  • Matt McCall: Bull Market For Commodities
    The CEO of Penn Financial Group discusses the factors that he sees will continue to push commodities even higher.Inflation, deflation or hyperinflation?Demand may not catch up to supplyWhy ETFs are such a good commodities vehicle
    December 09, 2009
 

Commodities Data

March 17, 2010 03:40 PM EST

  Loading data ...
 

Weekly Commodities Poll

Is now a good time to buy gold?

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

  • Dennis Gartman: The Euro Is 'Doomed'
    The man behind The Gartman Letter says to buy the dollar, short the euro.
    February 26, 2010
  • Miguel Perez-Santalla: Gold Correction Coming
    Heraeus Precious Metals Management's VP of marketing looks back on the yellow metal’s performance in 2009, and shares his outlook for it in 2010.Is gold’s safe-haven status losing its luster?How much impact will the Fed raising rates have on gold?Are central banks good contrarian indicators?
    January 06, 2010
  • Carlos Sanchez: Get Exposure To Rising Gold Prices
    CPM Group’s associate director of research shares his view on how investors can play silver and other precious metals.
    December 30, 2009
  • Carlos Sanchez: Gold May Top $1,200 By Year-End
    CPM Group’s associate director of research discusses how current global political and economic conditions affect the price of the yellow metal.Investors continue rushing to safe-haven assetsStock markets perceived as potentially vulnerableWhat factors could cap gold price gains?
    December 23, 2009
  • Matt McCall: Bull Market For Commodities
    The CEO of Penn Financial Group discusses the factors that he sees will continue to push commodities even higher.Inflation, deflation or hyperinflation?Demand may not catch up to supplyWhy ETFs are such a good commodities vehicle
    December 09, 2009
 

Seminal Papers »